Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000099 0.000105 0.000110 0.000116 0.000123 0.000131 0.000139
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 0.000088 0.000095 0.000103 0.000112 0.000122 0.000134 0.000148
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000083 0.000092 0.000102 0.000114 0.000128 0.000145 0.000166
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000090 0.000101 0.000115 0.000133 0.000155 0.000185
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000076 0.000086 0.000098 0.000114 0.000134 0.000160 0.000197
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000074 0.000085 0.000098 0.000116 0.000140 0.000171 0.000218
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000082 0.000096 0.000115 0.000140 0.000175 0.000230
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000068 0.000079 0.000094 0.000113 0.000140 0.000179 0.000241
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000078 0.000093 0.000113 0.000143 0.000186 0.000258
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000077 0.000093 0.000115 0.000148 0.000196 0.000282
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000075 0.000090 0.000113 0.000146 0.000197 0.000290
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000071 0.000087 0.000109 0.000143 0.000194 0.000291
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000069 0.000084 0.000107 0.000141 0.000196 0.000301
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000066 0.000081 0.000103 0.000137 0.000191 0.000298
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000065 0.000081 0.000104 0.000141 0.000203 0.000331
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000065 0.000081 0.000106 0.000146 0.000215 0.000368
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000063 0.000079 0.000105 0.000146 0.000218 0.000385
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000063 0.000080 0.000107 0.000151 0.000233 0.000434
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000062 0.000078 0.000105 0.000151 0.000237 0.000455
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000077 0.000104 0.000150 0.000239 0.000475
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000076 0.000104 0.000153 0.000248 0.000517
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000059 0.000077 0.000106 0.000158 0.000263 0.000582
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000046 0.000058 0.000075 0.000104 0.000156 0.000262 0.000597